Decision-making in modelling
Reducing uncertainty in snow models
The modeller as subject
My research background is in snow modelling. During my PhD (2010) and first postdoc at the University of Edinburgh, I combined field work and model development to represent snow-vegetation interactions in snow models. Over the years, between a position at the Finnish Meterological Institute, one as a freelance scientist at CORES science and engineering and a return to the University of Edinburgh since 2017, my research has increasingly focused on uncertainties and errors in physically-based (snow) models. Most particularly, my research has shifted from the models to the modellers, but more broadly to the people doing the research. I am particularly interested in how the decisions, assumptions and biases researchers make and have influence the interpretation of our research.
Active research projects:
H2020 CHARTER (2020 – 2024) Advancing the adaptive capacity of Arctic communities to climatic and biodiversity changes. https://www.charter-arctic.org/
The Big Thaw: gauging the past, present and future of our mountain water resources (2022 – 2026) http://gotw.nerc.ac.uk/list_full.asp?pcode=NE%2FX005267%2F1
Menard, C. B., & Shinton, S. (2022). The career paths of researchers in long-term employment on short-term contracts: Case study from a UK university. PLoS ONE, 17(9 September) doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0274486
Lemmetyinen, J and 25 others (2022). Airborne SnowSAR data at X and ku bands over boreal forest, alpine and tundra snow cover. Earth System Science Data, 14(9), 3915-3945. doi:10.5194/essd-14-3915-2022
Menard, C. B., and 31 others (2021). Scientific and Human Errors in a Snow Model Intercomparison, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(1), E61-E79. DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0329.1
Essery, R. and 31 others (2020). Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models. Cryosphere, 14(12), 4687-4698. doi:10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020
Menard, C. B and 14 others (2019).: Meteorological and evaluation datasets for snow modelling at 10 reference sites: description of in situ and bias-corrected reanalysis data, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 865–880, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-865-2019, 2019.